Rotger's going to leave.

Olaf knows this, the same way he knows that he's a Drix, that he'll never pass a navigation exam without caesar paying his studies, that seven young fähnrichs from the North weren't nearly compensation enough for being stuck with Bermesser as Oberfähnrich zur See. It's as simple as that.

Rotger leaves, every time. And that seems stupidly obvious, because of course Rotger leaves; they can't hang around in an empty classroom or the sail shed forever. But it's not like that. Rotger leaves, and there's no doubt in Olaf's mind that every time he walks out, he intends it to be the last. Intends to go back to Almeida, and to stay with Almeida, and there's nothing Olaf can do or say about it. And every time, more days pass before Rotger approaches him again, and one of these days, he won't come back.

And really, he should have known better. Rotger's a Marikiare, and Marikiare hate Drixes, and that's another one of those things that Olaf knows. And if he forgets, his friends are more than willing to remind him.

NC-17